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BLAST Slam IV · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Execrationloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 31 game
74%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 24 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
54%
Windranger
Windranger
Save- · 24 games
58%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 21 game
57%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 21 game
57%

Execration

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 26 games
65%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 19 games
58%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
cml · 17 games
59%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Shanks · 16 games
63%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 15 games
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 15 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Bob · 14 games
57%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Huntersignature
Shanks · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
632 picks · 315 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
548 picks · 550 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
403 picks · 1127 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
388 picks · 206 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
368 picks · 617 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
354 picks · 391 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
352 picks · 273 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
352 picks · 160 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total75% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:16
BETBOOM TEAM 65%Execration 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKiritych
59% · 206 games48% · 181 game
MorphlingPalos
Morphling
Axe
AxeMieRo
56% · 65 games44% · 181 game
Queen of PainBob
Queen of Pain
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
56% · 246 games39% · 176 games
MarsTino-
Mars
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSave-
48% · 112 games39% · 15 games
TechiesShanks
Techies
Chen
ChenKataomi
63% · 100 games45% · 176 games
Enchantresscml
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct28:2
BETBOOM TEAM 65%Execration 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 25:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
55% · 216 games53% · 224 games
Templar AssassinPalos
Templar Assassin
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
49% · 279 games40% · 120 games
AxeTino-
Axe
Doom
DoomMieRo
53% · 215 games44% · 361 game
PangolierBob
Pangolier
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
52% · 210 games46% · 194 games
EnchantressShanks
Enchantress
Bane
BaneKataomi
53% · 161 game54% · 182 games
Silencercml
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 75%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2