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BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 1:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Heroicloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
67%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Miposhka · 17 games
65%
Bane
Banesignature
Miposhka · 16 games
94%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Miposhka · 15 games
53%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Yatoro · 15 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Miposhka · 14 games
57%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Larl · 14 games
71%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Yatoro · 13 games
77%

Heroic

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 22 games
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 21 game
81%
Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 19 games
53%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 18 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
4nalog · 18 games
44%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
4nalog · 16 games
31%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 15 games
73%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Yuma · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
627 picks · 312 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
541 picks · 550 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
403 picks · 1121 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
383 picks · 203 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
364 picks · 614 bans
53%
Pugna
Pugna
353 picks · 390 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
350 picks · 160 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
348 picks · 270 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 65%
Hero pool strength56% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total57% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:19
Team Spirit 52%Heroic 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 43:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzYatoro
57% · 48 games55% · 225 games
Templar AssassinYuma
Templar Assassin
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetLarl
47% · 285 games45% · 277 games
BeastmasterDavai
Beastmaster
Sand King
Sand KingCollapse
51% · 211 games51% · 149 games
LeshracWisper
Leshrac
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkrue
49% · 310 games56% · 124 games
Naga SirenKJ
Naga Siren
Disruptor
DisruptorPanto
48% · 268 games46% · 347 games
SnapfireScofield
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 57%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1