Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Inner Circleloss 0:2series probability
9%91%
probability at match start · final 0:2
1w Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Inner Circle
Hoodwink
Fernans · 26 games
Tiny
Jing · 24 games
Tuskoften banned
Fernans · 22 games
Warlock
Se · 21 game
Puckoften banned
niche · 19 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 16 games
Jakiro
Se · 16 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 15 games
1w Team
Puckoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 27 games
Rubick
swedenstrong · 25 games
Tusksignature
swedenstrong · 25 games
Bristlebackoften banned
мистер мораль · 23 games
Underlordoften banned
мистер мораль · 23 games
Slardarsignature
мистер мораль · 21 game
Venomancer
Rein · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
612 picks · 437 bans
Rubick
557 picks · 324 bans
Pangolier
415 picks · 592 bans
Tiny
405 picks · 369 bans
Phoenix
389 picks · 442 bans
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 486 bans
Storm Spirit
327 picks · 373 bans
Clockwerk
317 picks · 622 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% 1w Team
Head-to-head0 – 6
Model total91% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:26
Inner Circle 24%1w Team 76%
The model gave 76% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 31:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz423
Centaur Warrunner33
Storm SpiritStojkov
Drow RangerPure~
Largolaise
Invokerbzm
HoodwinkFernans
WindrangerAri
ClockwerkSe
BaneWhitemon
Game 2prediction correct29:26
Inner Circle 23%1w Team 77%
The model gave 77% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 53:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster423
Drow RangerPure~
InvokerStojkov
Ember Spiritbzm
Centaur Warrunnerlaise
Night Stalker33
HoodwinkFernans
WindrangerAri
EnchantressSe
IoWhitemon
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 91%
Series result1w Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2