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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Virtus.proloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 15 games
73%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 14 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 10 games
80%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 9 games
56%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 8 games
88%
Kez
Kezsignature
Yuma · 8 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 8 games
88%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 7 games
86%

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakiro
Fly · 30 games
37%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 21 game
43%
Tiny
Tiny
Hellscream · 20 games
40%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Timado · 19 games
42%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Abed · 19 games
47%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Abed · 19 games
42%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 18 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Fly · 17 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
611 picks · 437 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
557 picks · 324 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
415 picks · 592 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
405 picks · 368 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
389 picks · 442 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 486 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
326 picks · 373 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
316 picks · 222 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)74% vs 41%
Hero pool strength67% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:35
LGD Gaming 63%Virtus.pro 37%
The model gave 63% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 1:16:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosTaiLung
48% · 41 game42% · 220 games
WindrangerTimado
Windranger
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerYuma
47% · 62 games53% · 35 games
Earth SpiritAbed
Earth Spirit
Doom
DoomWisper
57% · 135 games43% · 61 game
Dark SeerSabeRLight-
Dark Seer
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
55% · 364 games49% · 213 games
RingmasterFly
Ringmaster
Largo
LargoKJ
53% · 138 games53% · 211 games
ClockwerkHellscream
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct34:32
LGD Gaming 63%Virtus.pro 37%
The model gave 63% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 1:01:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosYuma
53% · 57 games44% · 51 game
Drow RangerTimado
Drow Ranger
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritTaiLung
47% · 241 game50% · 179 games
PuckAbed
Puck
Enigma
EnigmaWisper
55% · 57 games45% · 179 games
AxeSabeRLight-
Axe
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeThiolicor
52% · 61 game47% · 51 game
Earth SpiritHellscream
Earth Spirit
Clockwerk
ClockwerkKJ
48% · 166 games61% · 122 games
RingmasterFly
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 70%
Accuracy by game1 of 2