BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 1:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tundra Esports
Dark Seersignature
33 · 23 games
Tusksignature
Saksa · 23 games
Tiny
Saksa · 21 game
Pugnaoften banned
Saksa · 20 games
Shadow Shaman
Saksa · 20 games
Axesignature
33 · 18 games
Doomoften banned
33 · 18 games
Abaddonoften banned
Crystallis · 17 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
Banesignature
Kataomi · 30 games
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 25 games
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
Muerta
Save- · 21 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
600 picks · 297 bans
Disruptor
521 picks · 525 bans
Puck
391 picks · 1077 bans
Hoodwink
353 picks · 184 bans
Mars
347 picks · 587 bans
Pugna
345 picks · 391 bans
Warlock
345 picks · 156 bans
Tusk
336 picks · 257 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head10 – 2
Model total71% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:15
Tundra Esports 61%BETBOOM TEAM 39%
The model gave 61% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 40:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AbaddonPure~
Queen of PaingpK~
Huskarbzm
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Axe33
ChenKataomi
Bounty HunterAri
LifestealerKiritych
JakiroWhitemon
Shadow DemonSave-
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 71%
Series resultTundra Esports 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1