Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 1:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
MOUZloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Hoodwink
rue · 41 game
Tuskoften banned
rue · 21 game
Batridersignature
Collapse · 20 games
Largosignature
Collapse · 20 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 19 games
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 19 games
Jakirosignature
Panto · 18 games
MOUZ
Tuskoften banned
yamich · 30 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Crystallis · 26 games
Brewmasteroften banned
BOOM · 23 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Crystallis · 23 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
MidOne · 18 games
Clockwerksignature
yamich · 18 games
Pugnasignature
Seleri · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
611 picks · 435 bans
Rubick
557 picks · 325 bans
Pangolier
414 picks · 590 bans
Tiny
405 picks · 367 bans
Phoenix
390 picks · 442 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 484 bans
Storm Spirit
324 picks · 372 bans
Windranger
314 picks · 220 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total54% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct52:59
Team Spirit 54%MOUZ 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 1:09:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PuckLarl
Monkey KingCrystallis
ClinkzYatoro
ViperBOOM
DoomCollapse
Earth SpiritMidOne
Rubicknot me
Tuskyamich
Clockwerkrue
BanePanto
Game 2prediction missed26:49
Team Spirit 53%MOUZ 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by MOUZ in 53:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangerYatoro
PuckMidOne
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
RazorCrystallis
ZeusLarl
TidehunterBOOM
Techiesnot me
Treant ProtectorPanto
Enchantressrue
Grimstrokeyamich
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2