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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 0:2
series probability
6%94%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aurora Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Level UP

Windranger
Windranger
chempik · 7 games
43%
Lich
Lich
Htrd · 5 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 5 games
60%
Techies
Techies
Htrd · 5 games
100%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
lupsione · 5 games
40%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Norma · 5 games
40%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Ainkrad · 5 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 4 games
0%

Aurora Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 66 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 56 games
64%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 54 games
67%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Nightfall · 48 games
69%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kaori · 46 games
70%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mikoto · 46 games
74%
Tiny
Tiny
Nightfall · 39 games
59%
Lion
Lionsignature
Mira · 38 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
610 picks · 435 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
557 picks · 325 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
415 picks · 589 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
404 picks · 366 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
390 picks · 442 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 484 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
326 picks · 372 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
314 picks · 220 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 61%
Hero pool strength60% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:30
Level UP 19%Aurora Gaming 81%
The model gave 81% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 35:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritAinkrad
45% · 367 games46% · 324 games
BeastmasterWs
Beastmaster
Clinkz
ClinkzWoE
51% · 109 games53% · 288 games
Shadow FiendNightfall
Shadow Fiend
Pudge
PudgeBb3px
47% · 65 games59% · 220 games
Monkey KingMikoto
Monkey King
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkqueezy
52% · 561 game51% · 162 games
Keeper of the LightMira
Keeper of the Light
Bane
BaneHtrd
48% · 199 games47% · 307 games
PhoenixKaori
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct4:28
Level UP 17%Aurora Gaming 83%
The model gave 83% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 21:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Death Prophet
Death ProphetAinkrad
40% · 41 game53% · 270 games
Shadow FiendNightfall
Shadow Fiend
Tiny
TinyWoE
46% · 687 games54% · 384 games
Ember SpiritMikoto
Ember Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
50% · 461 game59% · 149 games
LargoWs
Largo
Snapfire
Snapfirequeezy
49% · 538 games52% · 440 games
JakiroKaori
Jakiro
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorHtrd
41% · 41 game52% · 525 games
HoodwinkMira
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 94%
Series resultAurora Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2