Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Poor Rangers
Drow Rangeroften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Lich
Hduo · 2 games
Magnus
TA2000 · 2 games
Tiny
nicky`cool · 2 games
Viperoften banned
nicky`cool · 2 games
Windranger
Immersion · 2 games
Axeoften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 1 game
GamerLegion
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 24 games
Tusksignature
Bignum · 22 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 18 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
Phoenixoften banned
Speeed · 17 games
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
608 picks · 434 bans
Rubick
558 picks · 326 bans
Pangolier
416 picks · 589 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 366 bans
Phoenix
390 picks · 443 bans
Storm Spirit
325 picks · 371 bans
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 483 bans
Windranger
309 picks · 216 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Poor Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:40
Poor Rangers 43%GamerLegion 57%
The model gave 57% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 32:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersawnicky`cool
LycanFayde
TinyTA2000
Shadow FiendGhost
SnapfireAlberkaaa
Earth SpiritRCY
ClockwerkImmersion
Dark WillowBignum
BaneHduo
Winter WyvernSpeeed
Game 2prediction correct29:61
Poor Rangers 42%GamerLegion 58%
The model gave 58% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 47:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersawnicky`cool
Nature's ProphetGhost
LunaTA2000
DoomFayde
LargoAlberkaaa
Earth SpiritRCY
SnapfireImmersion
BaneSpeeed
ClockwerkHduo
Dark WillowBignum
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 67%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2