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BLAST Slam V. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Puck
Pucksignature
Sancity · 18 games
61%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
JaCkky · 18 games
61%
Tusk
Tusk
Jhocam · 18 games
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
JaCkky · 15 games
47%
Tiny
Tiny
Tims · 15 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Jhocam · 14 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Armel · 14 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 14 games
50%

Yangon Galacticos

Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Ksh · 7 games
43%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ksh · 5 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
25%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Young PH · 3 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
JG · 3 games
67%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
508 picks · 264 bans
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
477 picks · 480 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
361 picks · 984 bans
53%
Pugna
Pugna
326 picks · 373 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
300 picks · 145 bans
53%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
299 picks · 493 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
299 picks · 509 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
291 picks · 613 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 40%
Hero pool strength53% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total88% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:27
BOOM Esports 76%Yangon Galacticos 24%
The model gave 76% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 56:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusa23savage
50% · 114 games48% · 243 games
TerrorbladeKsh
Terrorblade
Abaddon
AbaddonJabz
56% · 132 games46% · 347 games
PuckYoung PH
Puck
Void Spirit
Void SpiritSancity
59% · 158 games
Disruptor
DisruptorNARMAN
53% · 100 games
Hoodwink
HoodwinkJhocam
47% · 86 games
Game 2prediction correct32:22
BOOM Esports 75%Yangon Galacticos 25%
The model gave 75% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 40:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mage23savage
73% · 7 games60% · 71 game
SlarkKsh
Slark
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightSancity
52% · 68 games43% · 239 games
Queen of PainYoung PH
Queen of Pain
Batrider
BatriderJabz
46% · 101 game
Tusk
TuskJhocam
47% · 81 game
Snapfire
SnapfireNARMAN
44% · 53 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 88%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2