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BLAST Slam V. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
BOOM Esportswin 2:0
series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BuyBack Brosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BOOM Esports

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
JaCkky · 18 games
61%
Tusk
Tusk
Jhocam · 18 games
56%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Sancity · 17 games
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
JaCkky · 15 games
47%
Tiny
Tiny
Tims · 15 games
33%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Jhocam · 14 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Armel · 14 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Jabz · 14 games
50%

BuyBack Bros

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Wonder'boy · 1 game
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nevermine · 1 game
0%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Beebie · 1 game
0%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
TrazaM · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
499 picks · 258 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
470 picks · 467 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
356 picks · 972 bans
53%
Pugna
Pugna
327 picks · 372 bans
52%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
297 picks · 489 bans
57%
Warlock
Warlock
297 picks · 146 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
293 picks · 501 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
290 picks · 614 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 4prediction correct21:9
BOOM Esports 83%BuyBack Bros 17%
The model gave 83% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 27:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
Ursa23savage
49% · 85 games58% · 23 games
MeepoBeebie
Meepo
Lycan
LycanJabz
53% · 92 games47% · 372 games
PangolierWonder'boy
Pangolier
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSancity
51% · 175 games53% · 45 games
PudgeNevermine
Pudge
Enchantress
EnchantressNARMAN
54% · 131 game44% · 216 games
HoodwinkTrazaM
Hoodwink
Muerta
MuertaJhocam
53% · 173 games
Game 5prediction correct15:3
BOOM Esports 82%BuyBack Bros 18%
The model gave 82% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 18:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mage23savage
51% · 26 games50% · 302 games
BeastmasterNevermine
Beastmaster
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerJabz
48% · 170 games52% · 230 games
Ember SpiritWonder'boy
Ember Spirit
Puck
PuckSancity
49% · 285 games63% · 63 games
Faceless VoidBeebie
Faceless Void
Warlock
WarlockNARMAN
46% · 277 games47% · 326 games
TinyTrazaM
Tiny
Hoodwink
HoodwinkJhocam
44% · 163 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 95%
Series resultBOOM Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2