BLAST Slam V. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Earthshakersignature
erase · 21 game
Clockwerk
slimeyao · 18 games
Doomoften banned
v1olent- · 18 games
Snapfire
slimeyao · 18 games
Warlock
RESPECT · 18 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Bb3px · 17 games
Puckoften banned
erase · 17 games
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 16 games
Nemiga Gaming
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 23 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 21 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 17 games
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 17 games
Marsoften banned
Covisnine · 17 games
Jakiro
monodrama · 14 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
bashka · 13 games
Void Spirit
young G · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
490 picks · 255 bans
Disruptor
468 picks · 460 bans
Puck
358 picks · 963 bans
Pugna
326 picks · 373 bans
Warlock
300 picks · 147 bans
Earthshaker
293 picks · 484 bans
Mars
293 picks · 492 bans
Batrider
289 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total56% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:18
HULIGANI 56%Nemiga Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 41:22.
Game 2prediction correct17:19
HULIGANI 56%Nemiga Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 43:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 56%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2