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BLAST Slam V. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Manila Zooloss 1:2
series probability
5%95%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Manila Zoo

No games played over 6 months.

Vici Gaming

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ori · 4 games
25%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Dy · 4 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ori · 4 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
Kaka · 4 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
Yang · 3 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Yang · 3 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Yang · 2 games
0%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
Ori · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
490 picks · 252 bans
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
468 picks · 460 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
357 picks · 962 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
325 picks · 373 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
300 picks · 147 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
293 picks · 489 bans
53%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
292 picks · 483 bans
57%
Batrider
Batrider
289 picks · 621 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:36
Manila Zoo 5%Vici Gaming 95%
The model gave 95% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 32:48.
Game 2prediction missed30:19
Manila Zoo 5%Vici Gaming 95%
The model gave 95% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Manila Zoo in 47:21.
Game 3prediction correct19:38
Manila Zoo 5%Vici Gaming 95%
The model gave 95% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 41:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 95%
Series resultVici Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3