BLAST Slam V. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionPLPandawa Limaloss 0:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BBBuyBack Broswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pandawa Lima
No games played over 6 months.
BuyBack Bros
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Wonder'boy · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Nevermine · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
Beebie · 1 game
Void Spirit
TrazaM · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
490 picks · 252 bans
Disruptor
468 picks · 459 bans
Puck
357 picks · 960 bans
Pugna
325 picks · 373 bans
Warlock
300 picks · 147 bans
Mars
293 picks · 488 bans
Earthshaker
292 picks · 483 bans
Batrider
289 picks · 621 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% Pandawa Lima
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Pandawa Lima
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:31
Pandawa Lima 60%BuyBack Bros 40%
The model gave 60% on Pandawa Lima — the game was taken by BuyBack Bros in 25:03.
Game 2prediction missed34:10
Pandawa Lima 60%BuyBack Bros 40%
The model gave 60% on Pandawa Lima — the game was taken by BuyBack Bros in 24:56.
Model check result
Model favoritePandawa Lima · 60%
Series resultBuyBack Bros 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2