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BLAST Slam V. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Tealoss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Warlock
Warlock
Solo · 12 games
33%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 10 games
40%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TA2000 · 9 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
TA2000 · 8 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
prblms · 7 games
29%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Noticed · 7 games
86%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
prblms · 7 games
43%
Bane
Bane
prblms · 6 games
33%

Team Tea

Pugna
Pugnasignature
SoNNeikO · 6 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
dEsire · 6 games
17%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dEsire · 5 games
80%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Worick · 5 games
80%
Slardar
Slardar
Cloud · 5 games
60%
Chen
Chenoften banned
SoNNeikO · 4 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
0%
Muerta
Muerta
dEsire · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
472 picks · 242 bans
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
463 picks · 448 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
355 picks · 952 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
322 picks · 369 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
304 picks · 147 bans
53%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
289 picks · 469 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
288 picks · 221 bans
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
287 picks · 667 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:20
Team Yandex 56%Team Tea 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 43:08.
Game 2prediction correct32:33
Team Yandex 56%Team Tea 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 42:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 56%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2