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Streamers League #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
VooDooSh Teamwin 2:1
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Stray Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

VooDooSh Team

Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
VooDooSh · 3 games
33%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
VooDooSh · 3 games
100%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
67%
Techies
Techies
Shishak · 3 games
67%
Axe
Axeoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 2 games
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Shishak · 2 games
100%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Shishak · 2 games
50%

Stray Team

Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Stray · 7 games
57%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
75%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Goodoq · 4 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
Vovapain · 4 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
DkFogas · 3 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Goodoq · 3 games
67%
Pudge
Pudge
DkFogas · 3 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Vovapain · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
625 picks · 444 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
588 picks · 334 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
427 picks · 628 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
414 picks · 473 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
400 picks · 363 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 381 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 494 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
319 picks · 964 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% VooDooSh Team
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total69% VooDooSh Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:33
VooDooSh Team 60%Stray Team 40%
The model gave 60% on VooDooSh Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 50:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidMariachi
55% · 97 games52% · 52 games
Necrophoszvёzd
Necrophos
Viper
Viperybicanoooobov
44% · 147 games53% · 165 games
Primal BeastDkFogas
Primal Beast
Axe
Axekolya_kaBAN68
47% · 241 game53% · 56 games
SniperStray
Sniper
Warlock
WarlockVooDooSh
47% · 323 games50% · 223 games
RingmasterGoodoq
Ringmaster
Techies
TechiesShishak
51% · 73 games51% · 385 games
TuskVovapain
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct43:28
VooDooSh Team 60%Stray Team 40%
The model gave 60% on VooDooSh Team — the game was taken by VooDooSh Team in 36:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
Timbersawkolya_kaBAN68
51% · 219 games52% · 82 games
Terrorbladezvёzd
Terrorblade
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerMariachi
55% · 69 games49% · 33 games
SniperStray
Sniper
Magnus
Magnusybicanoooobov
47% · 57 games51% · 143 games
AxeDkFogas
Axe
Techies
TechiesShishak
45% · 160 games55% · 274 games
HoodwinkGoodoq
Hoodwink
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanVooDooSh
48% · 244 games47% · 217 games
TuskVovapain
Tusk
Game 3prediction correct55:29
VooDooSh Team 61%Stray Team 39%
The model gave 61% on VooDooSh Team — the game was taken by VooDooSh Team in 51:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendMariachi
52% · 167 games47% · 166 games
Nature's Prophetzvёzd
Nature's Prophet
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerkolya_kaBAN68
47% · 163 games51% · 189 games
TimbersawDkFogas
Timbersaw
Phoenix
Phoenixybicanoooobov
52% · 186 games47% · 37 games
ZeusStray
Zeus
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeShishak
52% · 74 games52% · 90 games
TechiesGoodoq
Techies
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanVooDooSh
54% · 122 games45% · 230 games
RubickVovapain
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteVooDooSh Team · 69%
Series resultVooDooSh Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3