Streamers League #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
By_Owl Teamwin 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gorgc Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
By_Owl Team
Luna
Koma` · 5 games
Rubick
rostikfacekid · 5 games
Silencer
by_Owl · 5 games
Techies
rostikfacekid · 5 games
Bristlebackoften banned
blindzone · 4 games
Invokeroften banned
avice · 4 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
reira · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
by_Owl · 3 games
Gorgc Team
Axeoften banned
sheepsticked · 3 games
Tinkeroften banned
Excalibur · 3 games
Bane
pieliedie · 2 games
Doomoften banned
Gorgc · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Gorgc · 2 games
Iooften banned
pieliedie · 2 games
Marsoften banned
sheepsticked · 2 games
Mirana
SingSing · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
625 picks · 444 bans
Rubick
589 picks · 335 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 629 bans
Phoenix
415 picks · 474 bans
Tiny
400 picks · 361 bans
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 382 bans
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 492 bans
Puck
318 picks · 965 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength54% By_Owl Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:55
By_Owl Team 61%Gorgc Team 39%
The model gave 61% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 1:05:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendKoma`
Faceless VoidGorgc
Queen of Painavice
PuckExcalibur
Axeblindzone
Undyingsheepsticked
Crystal Maidenby_Owl
SnapfireSingSing
Lionrostikfacekid
Enchantresspieliedie
Game 2prediction correct44:32
By_Owl Team 60%Gorgc Team 40%
The model gave 60% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 37:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendKoma`
SpectreGorgc
Storm Spiritavice
PuckExcalibur
Night Stalkerblindzone
Undyingsheepsticked
Ringmasterrostikfacekid
SnapfireSingSing
Crystal Maidenby_Owl
Largopieliedie
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 73%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2