Streamers League #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LenS Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
Necrophosoften banned
Stray · 5 games
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
Spirit Breaker
Goodoq · 4 games
Centaur Warrunner
DkFogas · 3 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Goodoq · 3 games
Rubick
Vovapain · 3 games
Sniperoften banned
Stray · 3 games
Tuskoften banned
Vovapain · 3 games
LenS Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
627 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
591 picks · 335 bans
Pangolier
430 picks · 631 bans
Phoenix
417 picks · 476 bans
Tiny
400 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 381 bans
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 494 bans
Puck
320 picks · 966 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% Stray Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total52% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed41:39
Stray Team 52%LenS Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Stray Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 55:10.
Game 2prediction missed24:42
Stray Team 52%LenS Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Stray Team — the game was taken by LenS Team in 43:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 52%
Series resultLenS Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2