BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Stray Teamloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Solo Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Stray Team
Dark Willow
lowkez · 5 games
Muerta
Retsu · 4 games
Pudge
DkFogas · 4 games
Rubick
lowkez · 4 games
Slardar
Stray · 4 games
Weaver
Retsu · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
Vovapain · 3 games
Dark Seeroften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
Solo Team
Disruptor
Lukawa · 3 games
Jakiro
Lukawa · 3 games
Clockwerk
FrostNova · 2 games
Dragon Knight
Stariy bog · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
ssnovv1 · 2 games
Lich
Lukawa · 2 games
Ogre Magi
Stariy bog · 2 games
Phantom Assassin
ssnovv1 · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
439 picks · 417 bans
Snapfire
428 picks · 216 bans
Puck
351 picks · 924 bans
Pugna
326 picks · 368 bans
Warlock
292 picks · 145 bans
Tusk
288 picks · 228 bans
Batrider
281 picks · 670 bans
Queen of Pain
280 picks · 852 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% Solo Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:39
Stray Team 51%Solo Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 39:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SpectreRetsu
Phantom Assassinssnovv1
WindrangerDkFogas
Brewmasterkolya_kaBAN68
Dragon KnightStray
SlardarStariy bog
Crystal MaidenStint
Ancient ApparitionFrostNova
PhoenixVovapain
OracleLukawa
Game 2prediction missed25:31
Stray Team 50%Solo Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 31:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BrewmasterStray
Phantom Assassinssnovv1
VisageDkFogas
ViperStariy bog
MarciRetsu
NecrophosSolo
TuskVovapain
JakiroFrostNova
Vengeful SpiritStint
RubickLukawa
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 52%
Series resultSolo Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2