BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
By_Owl Team
Warlock
by_Owl · 4 games
Doomoften banned
meLes · 3 games
Snapfire
Нексюша · 3 games
Ancient Apparition
by_Owl · 2 games
Disruptor
by_Owl · 2 games
Earthshakeroften banned
avice · 2 games
Grimstroke
by_Owl · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Koma` · 2 games
YBN Team
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 5 games
Sand Kingoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 5 games
Silenceroften banned
good_mma · 4 games
Windranger
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
Broodmother
zvёzd · 3 games
Dragon Knight
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
Lion
EARTHQ · 3 games
Luna
zvёzd · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
435 picks · 405 bans
Snapfire
415 picks · 210 bans
Puck
347 picks · 911 bans
Pugna
325 picks · 366 bans
Warlock
288 picks · 143 bans
Tusk
285 picks · 226 bans
Batrider
278 picks · 668 bans
Queen of Pain
277 picks · 844 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 63%
Hero pool strength55% YBN Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:18
By_Owl Team 53%YBN Team 47%
The model gave 53% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 40:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KunkkaKoma`
Abaddonzvёzd
Queen of Painavice
BeastmasterGroom
MarsmeLes
Underlordybicanoooobov
Dazzleby_Owl
Ogre Magigood_mma
Shadow ShamanНексюша
WindrangerEARTHQ
Game 2prediction missed21:38
By_Owl Team 57%YBN Team 43%
The model gave 57% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 41:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TinyKoma`
Terrorbladezvёzd
Void Spiritavice
Tidehunterybicanoooobov
MagnusmeLes
MarciGroom
Warlockby_Owl
MuertaEARTHQ
Vengeful SpiritНексюша
Silencergood_mma
Game 3prediction missed30:42
By_Owl Team 54%YBN Team 46%
The model gave 54% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 1:04:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoommeLes
Phantom Lancerzvёzd
Kunkkaavice
Void SpiritGroom
SvenKoma`
Tidehunterybicanoooobov
Oracleby_Owl
Ogre Magigood_mma
Crystal MaidenНексюша
JakiroEARTHQ
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 60%
Series resultYBN Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3