CCT Season 2 Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:2series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
OxinGamewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Natus Vincere Junior
Ringmastersignature
Riddys · 26 games
Tiny
Niku · 18 games
Timbersawsignature
Niku · 15 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Zayac · 13 games
Dark Seeroften banned
pma · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 11 games
Pucksignature
Niku · 11 games
Doomsignature
gotthejuice · 10 games
OxinGame
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
433 picks · 398 bans
Snapfire
408 picks · 206 bans
Puck
349 picks · 902 bans
Pugna
322 picks · 365 bans
Warlock
287 picks · 141 bans
Tusk
284 picks · 227 bans
Batrider
277 picks · 673 bans
Queen of Pain
277 picks · 840 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 30%
Hero pool strength57% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Natus Vincere Junior 72%OxinGame 28%
The model gave 72% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by OxinGame.
Game 2prediction missed
Natus Vincere Junior 72%OxinGame 28%
The model gave 72% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by OxinGame.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 72%
Series resultOxinGame 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2