PGL Wallachia Season 6. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTMTaiLung Mafiawin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DDemoniosloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
TaiLung Mafia
No games played over 6 months.
Demonios
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
424 picks · 394 bans
Snapfire
401 picks · 203 bans
Puck
344 picks · 892 bans
Pugna
318 picks · 361 bans
Warlock
284 picks · 138 bans
Tusk
282 picks · 228 bans
Batrider
276 picks · 670 bans
Queen of Pain
276 picks · 831 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% TaiLung Mafia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% TaiLung Mafia
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
TaiLung Mafia 89%Demonios 11%
The model gave 89% on TaiLung Mafia — the game was taken by TaiLung Mafia.
Game 2prediction correct
TaiLung Mafia 89%Demonios 11%
The model gave 89% on TaiLung Mafia — the game was taken by TaiLung Mafia.
Model check result
Model favoriteTaiLung Mafia · 89%
Series resultTaiLung Mafia 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2