Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Сербияloss 1:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Грецияwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Сербия
No games played over 6 months.
Греция
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
628 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
592 picks · 335 bans
Pangolier
432 picks · 631 bans
Phoenix
417 picks · 478 bans
Tiny
399 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 380 bans
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 493 bans
Puck
319 picks · 967 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Сербия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Сербия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Сербия 51%Греция 49%
The model gave 51% on Сербия — the game was taken by Греция.
Game 2prediction correct
Сербия 51%Греция 49%
The model gave 51% on Сербия — the game was taken by Сербия.
Game 3prediction missed
Сербия 51%Греция 49%
The model gave 51% on Сербия — the game was taken by Греция.
Model check result
Model favoriteСербия · 51%
Series resultГреция 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3