BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GoodWin Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik Team
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
9970- · 4 games
Abaddonoften banned
zvёzd · 3 games
Juggernaut
zvёzd · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iful · 3 games
Ancient Apparition
Vlad · 2 games
Bounty Hunteroften banned
iful · 2 games
Elder Titan
rostislav_999 · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Vlad · 2 games
GoodWin Team
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Mariachi · 5 games
Void Spirit
GoodWin · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
Lesn4ok · 3 games
Disruptor
Leviamur · 3 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Mariachi · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Mariachi · 3 games
Shadow Shaman
BOOKER · 3 games
Techies
Lesn4ok · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
407 picks · 368 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 188 bans
Puck
347 picks · 885 bans
Pugna
308 picks · 354 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 243 bans
Dawnbreaker
283 picks · 807 bans
Warlock
281 picks · 136 bans
Batrider
275 picks · 691 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Rostik Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:31
Rostik Team 50%GoodWin Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 41:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautSatanic
Monkey KingMariachi
Tinyrostislav_999
EnigmaNoticed
Brewmasteregxrdemxn
MagnusRayx
SnapfireVlad
LionBOOKER
SilencerВоскресенский
Crystal MaidenGoodWin
Game 2prediction missed38:17
Rostik Team 49%GoodWin Team 51%
The model gave 51% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 29:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaSatanic
Nature's ProphetMariachi
Dark Seeregxrdemxn
UnderlordNoticed
Leshracrostislav_999
RubickRayx
Shadow DemonVlad
Spirit BreakerGoodWin
JakiroВоскресенский
ClockwerkBOOKER
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 50%
Series resultRostik Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2