Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Ливанwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Кыргызстанloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ливан
No games played over 6 months.
Кыргызстан
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
630 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
591 picks · 338 bans
Pangolier
434 picks · 632 bans
Phoenix
419 picks · 479 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
335 picks · 380 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 492 bans
Puck
318 picks · 970 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% Ливан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Ливан
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ливан 64%Кыргызстан 36%
The model gave 64% on Ливан — the game was taken by Ливан.
Game 2prediction correct
Ливан 64%Кыргызстан 36%
The model gave 64% on Ливан — the game was taken by Ливан.
Model check result
Model favoriteЛиван · 64%
Series resultЛиван 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2