Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Иранloss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Турцияwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Иран
No games played over 6 months.
Турция
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
630 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
591 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
434 picks · 634 bans
Phoenix
420 picks · 480 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 380 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 494 bans
Puck
318 picks · 972 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Иран
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Турция
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Иран 47%Турция 53%
The model gave 53% on Турция — the game was taken by Иран.
Game 2prediction correct
Иран 47%Турция 53%
The model gave 53% on Турция — the game was taken by Турция.
Game 3prediction correct
Иран 47%Турция 53%
The model gave 53% on Турция — the game was taken by Турция.
Model check result
Model favoriteТурция · 53%
Series resultТурция 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3