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PGL Wallachia Season 6. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 0:2
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bikini Bottomwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
mrls · 23 games
61%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
erase · 21 game
67%
Doom
Doomsignature
v1olent- · 18 games
61%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
slimeyao · 17 games
59%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
v1olent- · 16 games
56%
Chen
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 15 games
47%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
erase · 15 games
73%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
v1olent- · 15 games
47%

Bikini Bottom

Mars
Marsoften banned
fortniteMan · 5 games
60%
Jakiro
Jakiro
aik · 4 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
aik · 4 games
75%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
QBFY · 3 games
33%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
xsvampire · 3 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
ряф^^ · 3 games
33%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
rincyq · 2 games
50%
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyer
ряф^^ · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
371 picks · 333 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
339 picks · 846 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
321 picks · 163 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
293 picks · 332 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
281 picks · 247 bans
47%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
280 picks · 788 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
276 picks · 124 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
272 picks · 686 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:39
HULIGANI 83%Bikini Bottom 17%
The model gave 83% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Bikini Bottom in 1:08:32.
Game 2prediction missed34:21
HULIGANI 83%Bikini Bottom 17%
The model gave 83% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Bikini Bottom in 38:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 83%
Series resultBikini Bottom 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2