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BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
By_Owl Teamwin 2:1
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Stray Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

By_Owl Team

Doom
Doomoften banned
Koma` · 2 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
by_Owl · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
by_Owl · 1 game
100%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
meLes · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
avice · 1 game
100%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Koma` · 1 game
100%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Koma` · 1 game
100%
Lich
Lich
Нексюша · 1 game
100%

Stray Team

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
lowkez · 4 games
75%
Muerta
Muerta
Retsu · 4 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
lowkez · 4 games
75%
Slardar
Slardar
Stray · 4 games
100%
Legion Commander
Legion Commander
DkFogas · 3 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Stray · 3 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
33%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
lowkez · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
363 picks · 329 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
336 picks · 839 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
310 picks · 161 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
291 picks · 332 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
282 picks · 783 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
282 picks · 246 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
274 picks · 124 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
270 picks · 687 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Stray Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:24
By_Owl Team 45%Stray Team 55%
The model gave 55% on Stray Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 35:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
Meepoavice
little data33% · 53 games
AbaddonRetsu
Abaddon
Necrophos
NecrophosKoma`
50% · 4 games54% · 53 games
Void SpiritDkFogas
Void Spirit
Undying
UndyingmeLes
58% · 77 games43% · 25 games
WindrangerStray
Windranger
Disruptor
Disruptorby_Owl
55% · 65 games53% · 15 games
Crystal MaidenVovapain
Crystal Maiden
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritНексюша
55% · 8 games32% · 8 games
Skywrath MageStint
Skywrath Mage
Game 2prediction correct28:44
By_Owl Team 45%Stray Team 55%
The model gave 55% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 42:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistKoma`
51% · 44 games52% · 171 game
Templar AssassinRetsu
Templar Assassin
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteravice
55% · 42 games49% · 90 games
SniperStray
Sniper
Phoenix
PhoenixmeLes
52% · 160 games54% · 29 games
PudgeDkFogas
Pudge
Dark Willow
Dark WillowНексюша
50% · 141 game57% · 3 games
Vengeful SpiritStint
Vengeful Spirit
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionby_Owl
56% · 57 games37% · 151 game
SnapfireVovapain
Snapfire
Game 3prediction missed38:34
By_Owl Team 43%Stray Team 57%
The model gave 57% on Stray Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 46:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageKoma`
43% · 3 games53% · 108 games
UrsaRetsu
Ursa
Batrider
BatridermeLes
55% · 157 games46% · 94 games
Dark SeerDkFogas
Dark Seer
Magnus
Magnusavice
53% · 116 games45% · 35 games
OmniknightStray
Omniknight
Snapfire
SnapfireНексюша
49% · 60 games41% · 47 games
WeaverStint
Weaver
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeby_Owl
54% · 19 games48% · 71 game
Crystal MaidenVovapain
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 60%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3