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BLAST Slam IV. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Roar Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Surge Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Roar Gaming

Mars
Marssignature
生死 · 6 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
CatYou · 5 games
60%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Ulu · 4 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
RedPanda · 4 games
75%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
生死 · 4 games
25%
Leshrac
Leshrac
ButterflyEffect · 4 games
75%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
CatYou · 4 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
RedPanda · 3 games
100%

Surge Gaming

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Hara · 5 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Irving · 4 games
75%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Irving · 3 games
100%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Night · 3 games
67%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Hara · 3 games
67%
Sven
Svenoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 2 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Night · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
348 picks · 322 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
329 picks · 829 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
301 picks · 152 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
288 picks · 321 bans
54%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
280 picks · 776 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
275 picks · 245 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
271 picks · 123 bans
51%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
267 picks · 171 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% Roar Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Roar Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Roar Gaming 71%Surge Gaming 29%
The model gave 71% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Roar Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoar Gaming · 71%
Series resultRoar Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1