DreamLeague Season 27. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs predictionCBChimpanzini Bananiniwin 3:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 3:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Chimpanzini Bananini
No games played over 6 months.
OG LATAM
Tusk
Elmisho · 12 games
Batridersignature
Genek · 9 games
Shadow Shaman
MoOz · 9 games
Ringmaster
MoOz · 8 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
K1 · 8 games
Underlord
ILICH- · 8 games
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 8 games
Warlocksignature
MoOz · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
345 picks · 319 bans
Puck
327 picks · 826 bans
Snapfire
298 picks · 149 bans
Pugna
287 picks · 318 bans
Dawnbreaker
278 picks · 773 bans
Tusk
271 picks · 245 bans
Warlock
269 picks · 123 bans
Shadow Shaman
267 picks · 171 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% OG LATAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% OG LATAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Chimpanzini Bananini 45%OG LATAM 55%
The model gave 55% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by Chimpanzini Bananini.
Game 2prediction missed
Chimpanzini Bananini 45%OG LATAM 55%
The model gave 55% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by Chimpanzini Bananini.
Game 3prediction correct
Chimpanzini Bananini 45%OG LATAM 55%
The model gave 55% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by OG LATAM.
Game 4prediction correct
Chimpanzini Bananini 45%OG LATAM 55%
The model gave 55% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by OG LATAM.
Game 5prediction missed
Chimpanzini Bananini 45%OG LATAM 55%
The model gave 55% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by Chimpanzini Bananini.
Model check result
Model favoriteOG LATAM · 55%
Series resultChimpanzini Bananini 3:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 5