BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamwin 2:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
YBN Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik Team
Abaddonoften banned
zvёzd · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
9970- · 3 games
Juggernaut
zvёzd · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iful · 3 games
Bounty Hunteroften banned
iful · 2 games
Marsoften banned
Vlad · 2 games
Oracle
Vlad · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
9970- · 2 games
YBN Team
Death Prophetoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
Lion
EARTHQ · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Groom · 3 games
Rubick
EARTHQ · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
Wraith King
nesfeer · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
good_mma · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
nesfeer · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
343 picks · 316 bans
Puck
327 picks · 821 bans
Snapfire
294 picks · 148 bans
Pugna
286 picks · 317 bans
Dawnbreaker
278 picks · 769 bans
Tusk
271 picks · 244 bans
Warlock
268 picks · 123 bans
Shadow Shaman
267 picks · 171 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% YBN Team
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total64% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:39
Rostik Team 59%YBN Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 49:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingSatanic
Phantom Lancerzvёzd
Pangolierrostislav_999
Underlordybicanoooobov
Centaur Warrunneregxrdemxn
PudgeGroom
LichВоскресенский
GrimstrokeEARTHQ
ClockwerkVlad
Windrangergood_mma
Game 2prediction correct25:31
Rostik Team 57%YBN Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 32:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll WarlordSatanic
Svenzvёzd
Bristlebackegxrdemxn
AbaddonGroom
Void Spiritrostislav_999
Omniknightybicanoooobov
Ancient ApparitionВоскресенский
Vengeful Spiritgood_mma
RubickVlad
Dark WillowEARTHQ
Game 3prediction correct20:6
Rostik Team 58%YBN Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 30:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaSatanic
Slarkzvёzd
Night Stalkeregxrdemxn
EnigmaGroom
Elder Titanrostislav_999
Dragon Knightybicanoooobov
VenomancerВоскресенский
Enchantressgood_mma
PugnaVlad
MarciEARTHQ
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 64%
Series resultRostik Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3