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ESSENCE III · BO3
pre-match prediction
Froglings
series probability
39%61%
model: form + hero pool + head-to-head
Angry Birds
Before the match the model relies on pure statistics: team form, their hero pool accounting for the patch meta, and head-to-head. Once the draft is known, the prediction is recalculated: hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Froglings

No games played over 6 months.

Angry Birds

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
100%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 5 games
100%
Windranger
Windranger
waveformn · 5 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
waveformn · 4 games
100%
Dazzle
Dazzle
PERDAN4IK · 3 games
33%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
ssnovv1 · 3 games
100%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
PERDAN4IK · 3 games
100%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
ssnovv1 · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
575 picks · 347 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
569 picks · 369 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
450 picks · 209 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
433 picks · 379 bans
55%
Mirana
Mirana
422 picks · 178 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
334 picks · 467 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 532 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
312 picks · 570 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength62% Angry Birds
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Angry Birds