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ESSENCE III · BO3
pre-match prediction
PlayTime
series probability
35%65%
model: form + hero pool + head-to-head
Yellow Submarine
Before the match the model relies on pure statistics: team form, their hero pool accounting for the patch meta, and head-to-head. Once the draft is known, the prediction is recalculated: hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PlayTime

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 24 games
63%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 17 games
65%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
DarkMago · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangolier
DarkMago · 15 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Wits · 15 games
60%
Doom
Doomsignature
Wits · 13 games
69%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 13 games
31%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Scofield · 12 games
42%

Yellow Submarine

Lich
Lichsignature
Xakoda · 38 games
76%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
prblms · 26 games
58%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
prblms · 21 game
71%
Kez
Kezsignature
Shigetsu · 20 games
70%
Lycan
Lycansignature
mangekyou · 19 games
74%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Xakoda · 18 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Xakoda · 17 games
59%
Techies
Techiesoften banned
aik · 17 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
575 picks · 347 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
569 picks · 369 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
450 picks · 209 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
433 picks · 379 bans
55%
Mirana
Mirana
422 picks · 178 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
334 picks · 467 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 532 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
312 picks · 570 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 68%
Hero pool strength55% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total65% Yellow Submarine