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ESSENCE III · BO3
pre-match prediction
HULIGANI
series probability
49%51%
model: form + hero pool + head-to-head
LEGION
Before the match the model relies on pure statistics: team form, their hero pool accounting for the patch meta, and head-to-head. Once the draft is known, the prediction is recalculated: hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 20 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 19 games
53%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirage · 17 games
76%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
RESPECT · 17 games
41%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
queezy · 16 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
sayuw · 15 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Corrupted · 13 games
38%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
ssnovv1 · 13 games
54%

LEGION

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
xsvampire · 12 games
33%
Largo
Largooften banned
SabeRLight- · 11 games
45%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
xsvampire · 10 games
30%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Stojkov · 9 games
44%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Kidaro · 9 games
44%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
SabeRLight- · 8 games
63%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
xsvampire · 8 games
88%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Stojkov · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
575 picks · 347 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
569 picks · 369 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
450 picks · 209 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
433 picks · 379 bans
55%
Mirana
Mirana
422 picks · 178 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
334 picks · 467 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 532 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
312 picks · 570 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% LEGION
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% LEGION