ESSENCE III · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
61%39%
model: form + hero pool + head-to-head
KCKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Before the match the model relies on pure statistics: team form, their hero pool accounting for the patch meta, and head-to-head. Once the draft is known, the prediction is recalculated: hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Angry Birds
Earth Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
Techiesoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 5 games
Windranger
waveformn · 5 games
Tusk
waveformn · 4 games
Dazzle
PERDAN4IK · 3 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
ssnovv1 · 3 games
Witch Doctor
PERDAN4IK · 3 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
ssnovv1 · 2 games
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Dark Willow
575 picks · 347 bans
Hoodwink
569 picks · 369 bans
Windranger
450 picks · 209 bans
Winter Wyvern
433 picks · 379 bans
Mirana
422 picks · 178 bans
Techies
334 picks · 467 bans
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 532 bans
Earth Spirit
312 picks · 570 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength62% Angry Birds
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Angry Birds