ESSENCE III · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
60%40%
model: form + hero pool + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on pure statistics: team form, their hero pool accounting for the patch meta, and head-to-head. Once the draft is known, the prediction is recalculated: hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xipto Esports
Dark Willow
Q · 7 games
Earthshakersignature
inYourdreaM · 7 games
Rubicksignature
Q · 7 games
Doomoften banned
Fbz · 6 games
Hoodwink
Q · 6 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
Oli · 6 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Fbz · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
23savage · 5 games
PlayTime
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 24 games
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 17 games
Ember Spiritsignature
DarkMago · 16 games
Pangolier
DarkMago · 15 games
Windrangersignature
Wits · 15 games
Doomsignature
Wits · 13 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 13 games
Clockwerk
Scofield · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Dark Willow
575 picks · 347 bans
Hoodwink
569 picks · 369 bans
Windranger
450 picks · 209 bans
Winter Wyvern
433 picks · 379 bans
Mirana
422 picks · 178 bans
Techies
334 picks · 467 bans
Ember Spirit
329 picks · 532 bans
Earth Spirit
312 picks · 570 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 36%
Hero pool strength52% Xipto Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Xipto Esports