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BLAST Slam IV. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 0:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Mars
Marssignature
Fbz · 6 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
dalul · 5 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Varizh · 4 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dalul · 4 games
50%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Varizh · 4 games
75%
Bane
Bane
Varizh · 3 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 3 games
100%
Leshrac
Leshrac
inYourdreaM · 3 games
0%

Execration

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
cml · 10 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Shanks · 9 games
44%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 9 games
44%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Shanks · 8 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 8 games
75%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Shanks · 8 games
63%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 7 games
71%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Tino- · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
330 picks · 311 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
323 picks · 809 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
280 picks · 140 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
278 picks · 313 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
277 picks · 757 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
270 picks · 173 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
270 picks · 248 bans
47%
Marci
Marci
260 picks · 798 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% Execration
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
REKONIX 40%Execration 60%
The model gave 60% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration.
Game 2prediction correct
REKONIX 40%Execration 60%
The model gave 60% on Execration — the game was taken by Execration.
Model check result
Model favoriteExecration · 60%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2