Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Гватемалаloss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Коста-Рикаwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Гватемала
No games played over 6 months.
Коста-Рика
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
630 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
591 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
434 picks · 634 bans
Phoenix
420 picks · 480 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
336 picks · 380 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 494 bans
Puck
318 picks · 972 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Гватемала
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Гватемала
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Гватемала 58%Коста-Рика 42%
The model gave 58% on Гватемала — the game was taken by Коста-Рика.
Game 2prediction missed
Гватемала 58%Коста-Рика 42%
The model gave 58% on Гватемала — the game was taken by Коста-Рика.
Model check result
Model favoriteГватемала · 58%
Series resultКоста-Рика 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2