BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamloss 1:2series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
YBN Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Mariachi · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
Lesn4ok · 3 games
Techies
Lesn4ok · 3 games
Tidehunteroften banned
GoodWin · 3 games
Venomancer
Leviamur · 3 games
Void Spirit
GoodWin · 3 games
Bane
Lesn4ok · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
ChodΣX · 2 games
YBN Team
Death Prophetoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
Lion
EARTHQ · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
good_mma · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
nesfeer · 2 games
Dragon Knight
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
Huskaroften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
Magnus
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
Marcioften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
310 picks · 772 bans
Disruptor
305 picks · 282 bans
Shadow Shaman
271 picks · 173 bans
Dawnbreaker
267 picks · 719 bans
Pugna
265 picks · 297 bans
Tusk
261 picks · 248 bans
Marci
258 picks · 741 bans
Nature's Prophet
253 picks · 596 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% YBN Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% GoodWin Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:19
GoodWin Team 60%YBN Team 40%
The model gave 60% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 38:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidMariachi
Wraith Kingzvёzd
UnderlordNoticed
PangolierGroom
Void SpiritRayx
Sniperybicanoooobov
Ogre MagiGoodWin
MuertaEARTHQ
SnapfireBOOKER
Spirit Breakergood_mma
Game 2prediction missed16:36
GoodWin Team 60%YBN Team 40%
The model gave 60% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 40:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautMariachi
Broodmotherzvёzd
Ember SpiritRayx
Sand Kingybicanoooobov
BrewmasterNoticed
PudgeGroom
Ogre MagiBOOKER
RubickEARTHQ
DisruptorGoodWin
Enchantressgood_mma
Game 3prediction missed29:31
GoodWin Team 60%YBN Team 40%
The model gave 60% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 54:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WeaverMariachi
Lunazvёzd
TerrorbladeNoticed
AlchemistGroom
KunkkaRayx
Death Prophetybicanoooobov
Witch DoctorGoodWin
SnapfireEARTHQ
Shadow ShamanBOOKER
Ogre Magigood_mma
Model check result
Model favoriteGoodWin Team · 69%
Series resultYBN Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3