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BLAST Slam IV. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAloss 0:1
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Aim Possiblewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinysignature
QBFY · 32 games
69%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Crystallize · 24 games
58%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 17 games
41%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Moonlight · 17 games
82%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
QBFY · 16 games
38%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Crystallize · 15 games
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Moonlight · 15 games
73%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Moonlight · 14 games
64%

Aim Possible

Warlock
Warlock
Aidar · 6 games
33%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
chempik · 5 games
40%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Garbat1y · 4 games
0%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Aidar · 4 games
25%
Bane
Bane
Garbat1y · 3 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Htrd · 3 games
33%
Magnus
Magnus
zenica · 3 games
67%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 3 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
310 picks · 774 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
304 picks · 281 bans
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
270 picks · 174 bans
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
266 picks · 717 bans
50%
Pugna
Pugna
265 picks · 297 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
260 picks · 248 bans
47%
Marci
Marci
258 picks · 738 bans
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
255 picks · 597 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 29%
Hero pool strength62% Passion UA
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total73% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Passion UA 73%Aim Possible 27%
The model gave 73% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Aim Possible.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 73%
Series resultAim Possible 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1