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DreamLeague Season 27. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 2:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Kukuysloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 3 games
100%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dalul · 3 games
33%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 3 games
67%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Varizh · 2 games
100%
Bane
Bane
Varizh · 2 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fbz · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Varizh · 2 games
0%
Lion
Lion
dalul · 2 games
100%

Kukuys

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Gabbi · 2 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Force · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 2 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemist
Natsumi · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristleback
Natsumi · 1 game
0%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 1 game
0%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Gabbi · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Yowe · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
300 picks · 749 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
291 picks · 264 bans
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
271 picks · 173 bans
49%
Pugna
Pugna
262 picks · 283 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
259 picks · 702 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
254 picks · 243 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
253 picks · 709 bans
54%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
250 picks · 581 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 56%
Hero pool strength56% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:26
REKONIX 56%Kukuys 44%
The model gave 56% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 36:39.
Game 2prediction missed18:38
REKONIX 56%Kukuys 44%
The model gave 56% on REKONIX — the game was taken by Kukuys in 31:45.
Game 3prediction correct25:12
REKONIX 56%Kukuys 44%
The model gave 56% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 27:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 56%
Series resultREKONIX 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3