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DreamLeague Season 27. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
AllStarsloss 0:2
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HunterZwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

AllStars

Mars
Marsoften banned
blessed kid · 6 games
33%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Accel · 6 games
83%
Omniknight
Omniknight
blessed kid · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Benjimon · 5 games
20%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Benjimon · 5 games
60%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
FeelinG · 5 games
0%
Tusk
Tusk
Accel · 5 games
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
bsK7- · 4 games
50%

HunterZ

Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
100%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Prada · 3 games
67%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Lumière · 3 games
100%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Lumière · 3 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Mjz · 2 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
Mjz · 2 games
50%
Slardar
Slardar
Vitaly · 2 games
100%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Mjz · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
299 picks · 748 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
290 picks · 261 bans
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
271 picks · 173 bans
49%
Pugna
Pugna
261 picks · 280 bans
54%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
259 picks · 697 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
253 picks · 243 bans
46%
Marci
Marci
252 picks · 703 bans
54%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
247 picks · 579 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 63%
Hero pool strength61% HunterZ
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total69% HunterZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
AllStars 31%HunterZ 69%
The model gave 69% on HunterZ — the game was taken by HunterZ.
Game 2prediction correct
AllStars 31%HunterZ 69%
The model gave 69% on HunterZ — the game was taken by HunterZ.
Model check result
Model favoriteHunterZ · 69%
Series resultHunterZ 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2