DreamLeague Season 27. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TSTeam Slayersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Wildcard Gaming
Tusk
Bignum · 24 games
Chensignature
Speeed · 23 games
Pucksignature
RCY · 22 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 22 games
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 20 games
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 19 games
Bane
Bignum · 18 games
Doomsignature
YamSun · 15 games
Team Slayers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
298 picks · 740 bans
Disruptor
280 picks · 255 bans
Shadow Shaman
273 picks · 173 bans
Dawnbreaker
259 picks · 682 bans
Pugna
257 picks · 275 bans
Tusk
250 picks · 243 bans
Marci
247 picks · 687 bans
Nature's Prophet
247 picks · 571 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:12
Wildcard Gaming 76%Team Slayers 24%
The model gave 76% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 30:11.
Game 2prediction correct
Wildcard Gaming 76%Team Slayers 24%
The model gave 76% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 76%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2