BLAST Slam IV. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionTThrivingloss 0:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cloud Risingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Thriving
No games played over 6 months.
Cloud Rising
Gyrocopteroften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Q7 · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 2 games
Void Spirit
Q7 · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Earthshakeroften banned
Q7 · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
294 picks · 718 bans
Shadow Shaman
274 picks · 176 bans
Disruptor
266 picks · 247 bans
Dawnbreaker
256 picks · 668 bans
Tusk
250 picks · 247 bans
Pugna
249 picks · 266 bans
Marci
246 picks · 656 bans
Nature's Prophet
244 picks · 555 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Thriving
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Cloud Rising
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Thriving 42%Cloud Rising 58%
The model gave 58% on Cloud Rising — the game was taken by Cloud Rising.
Game 2prediction correct
Thriving 42%Cloud Rising 58%
The model gave 58% on Cloud Rising — the game was taken by Cloud Rising.
Model check result
Model favoriteCloud Rising · 58%
Series resultCloud Rising 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2