BLAST Slam IV. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionOGOxygen Gamingwin 2:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
云云竞极宸朝阳队loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Oxygen Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
云竞极宸朝阳队
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
290 picks · 697 bans
Shadow Shaman
281 picks · 179 bans
Disruptor
256 picks · 226 bans
Dawnbreaker
255 picks · 653 bans
Tusk
249 picks · 253 bans
Dark Willow
246 picks · 105 bans
Marci
245 picks · 609 bans
Nature's Prophet
242 picks · 547 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Oxygen Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% 云竞极宸朝阳队
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:14
Oxygen Gaming 47%云竞极宸朝阳队 53%
The model gave 53% on 云竞极宸朝阳队 — the game was taken by Oxygen Gaming in 30:18.
Game 2prediction correct15:33
Oxygen Gaming 47%云竞极宸朝阳队 53%
The model gave 53% on 云竞极宸朝阳队 — the game was taken by 云竞极宸朝阳队 in 24:59.
Game 3prediction missed22:4
Oxygen Gaming 47%云竞极宸朝阳队 53%
The model gave 53% on 云竞极宸朝阳队 — the game was taken by Oxygen Gaming in 26:26.
Model check result
Model favorite云竞极宸朝阳队 · 53%
Series resultOxygen Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3