BLAST Slam IV. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Cloud Risingwin 1:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TLTeam LCloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cloud Rising
Gyrocopteroften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
Storm Spirit
Q7 · 2 games
Void Spirit
Q7 · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Earthshakeroften banned
Q7 · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Q7 · 1 game
Team LC
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
289 picks · 696 bans
Shadow Shaman
285 picks · 178 bans
Disruptor
255 picks · 222 bans
Dawnbreaker
253 picks · 653 bans
Tusk
251 picks · 253 bans
Dark Willow
247 picks · 105 bans
Marci
246 picks · 601 bans
Nature's Prophet
244 picks · 547 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Team LC
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Team LC
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Cloud Rising 49%Team LC 51%
The model gave 51% on Team LC — the game was taken by Cloud Rising.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam LC · 51%
Series resultCloud Rising 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1