DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionTKTeam Kssssssssywin 1:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GSGooding Slayerloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Kssssssssy
No games played over 6 months.
Gooding Slayer
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
289 picks · 691 bans
Shadow Shaman
285 picks · 178 bans
Disruptor
255 picks · 222 bans
Dawnbreaker
253 picks · 652 bans
Tusk
251 picks · 252 bans
Dark Willow
247 picks · 104 bans
Marci
246 picks · 600 bans
Nature's Prophet
244 picks · 545 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Team Kssssssssy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Gooding Slayer
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:10
Team Kssssssssy 50%Gooding Slayer 50%
The model gave 50% on Gooding Slayer — the game was taken by Team Kssssssssy in 17:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteGooding Slayer · 50%
Series resultTeam Kssssssssy 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1