DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Odiumloss 0:1series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Teawin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Odium
Axeoften banned
Actor · 6 games
Witch Doctorsignature
Lil · 6 games
Dark Willow
lupsione · 5 games
Tuskoften banned
lupsione · 5 games
Shadow Demon
lupsione · 4 games
Tiny
Rain · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Actor · 3 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Actor · 3 games
Team Tea
Hoodwink
dEsire · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 2 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Worick · 2 games
Slardar
Cloud · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Kami · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 1 game
Chenoften banned
SoNNeikO · 1 game
Elder Titan
SoNNeikO · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
289 picks · 691 bans
Shadow Shaman
285 picks · 178 bans
Disruptor
255 picks · 221 bans
Dawnbreaker
253 picks · 651 bans
Tusk
251 picks · 252 bans
Dark Willow
247 picks · 104 bans
Marci
246 picks · 599 bans
Nature's Prophet
244 picks · 544 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 67%
Hero pool strength64% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Odium 15%Team Tea 85%
The model gave 85% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 85%
Series resultTeam Tea 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1