Asia Pacific Predator League 2024 · BO1
result vs prediction
747win 1:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The Councilloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
747
Marsoften banned
db- · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
Karl · 2 games
Pugnaoften banned
Boomy · 2 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
inYourdreaM · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Jaunuel · 1 game
Clockwerk
Jaunuel · 1 game
Dark Willow
Boomy · 1 game
Dazzleoften banned
Karl · 1 game
The Council
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
260 picks · 441 bans
Phoenix
239 picks · 372 bans
Centaur Warrunner
225 picks · 296 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Dark Willow
212 picks · 99 bans
Tusk
211 picks · 198 bans
Treant Protector
190 picks · 360 bans
Kunkka
186 picks · 519 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% 747
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% 747
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
747 68%The Council 32%
The model gave 68% on 747 — the game was taken by 747.
Model check result
Model favorite747 · 68%
Series result747 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1