BLAST Slam IV. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionQQuanXingloss 0:2
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Roar Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
QuanXing
No games played over 6 months.
Roar Gaming
Disruptor
RedPanda · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
Ulu · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
生死 · 1 game
Earthshakeroften banned
生死 · 1 game
Leshrac
ButterflyEffect · 1 game
Marsoften banned
生死 · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Ulu · 1 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
289 picks · 687 bans
Shadow Shaman
287 picks · 180 bans
Dawnbreaker
255 picks · 649 bans
Tusk
253 picks · 250 bans
Disruptor
252 picks · 219 bans
Dark Willow
248 picks · 105 bans
Marci
244 picks · 593 bans
Nature's Prophet
244 picks · 541 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% Roar Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Roar Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:35
QuanXing 24%Roar Gaming 76%
The model gave 76% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Roar Gaming in 25:14.
Game 2prediction correct29:46
QuanXing 24%Roar Gaming 76%
The model gave 76% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Roar Gaming in 46:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoar Gaming · 76%
Series resultRoar Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2