FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2 — Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:1series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 0:1
xinwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 23 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 17 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 14 games
Jakiro
monodrama · 14 games
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 13 games
Marsoften banned
Covisnine · 13 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
bashka · 13 games
Tusk
xsvampire · 12 games
xin
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
298 picks · 192 bans
Puck
289 picks · 668 bans
Dark Willow
260 picks · 107 bans
Tusk
256 picks · 254 bans
Dawnbreaker
253 picks · 623 bans
Nature's Prophet
250 picks · 524 bans
Marci
244 picks · 536 bans
Disruptor
241 picks · 203 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 83%xin 17%
The model gave 83% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by xin.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 83%
Series resultxin 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1